Final tracked odds
As of August 24, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 4%.
▲ 3 since the previous update. ▲ 2 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?
Everything Else · tracked since August 21, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on August 24, 2026
4%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Aug 21 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margo Martin | 2% | 4% | ▲ 3 |
Full history table
| Date | Margo Martin |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | 4% |
| 2026-08-21 | 2% |
| 2026-08-20 * | 1.0% |
| 2026-08-19 * | 0% |
| 2026-08-18 * | 3% |
* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary of United States — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, August 24, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 4%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary of United States — did the odds go up or down?
- Up. Over the 2 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 2% on August 21, 2026 to 4% on August 24, 2026 — a change of 2 points.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary of United States” for 2 days, since August 21, 2026. As of August 24, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 4%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 2% to 4%, ranging between 2% and 4% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on August 24, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.