Final tracked odds
As of October 5, 2026, market-consensus odds make Private Market the most likely outcome at 96%.
Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
What will BlackRock, Inc. say during their next earnings call?
Everything Else · tracked since September 23, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 5, 2026
96%
How the odds have moved
Private MarketPerformance FeeHPSAladdinDigital Asset
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Sep 29 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Private Market | 96% | 96% | — |
| Performance Fee | 92% | 95% | ▲ 2 |
| HPS | 92% | 95% | ▲ 3 |
| Aladdin | 92% | 92% | ▲ 1 |
| Digital Asset | 76% | 83% | ▲ 7 |
| AIP / AI Infrastructure Partnership | 66% | 66% | — |
| Securitize / Securitized | 52% | 59% | ▲ 7 |
| AES | 52% | 54% | ▲ 1 |
Full history table
| Date | Private Market | Performance Fee | HPS | Aladdin | Digital Asset | AIP / AI Infrastructure Partnership | Securitize / Securitized | AES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 96% | 95% | 95% | 92% | 83% | 66% | 59% | 54% |
| 2026-09-29 | 96% | 92% | 92% | 92% | 76% | 66% | 52% | 52% |
| 2026-09-28 | 96% | 92% | 92% | 92% | 73% | — | 66% | 46% |
| 2026-09-27 | 94% | 90% | 91% | 90% | 78% | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-25 | 94% | 90% | 91% | 90% | 82% | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-24 | 88% | 72% | 88% | 86% | 72% | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-23 | — | 76% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- What will BlackRock, Inc. say during their next earnings call — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, October 5, 2026, Private Market led at 96%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- What will BlackRock, Inc. say during their next earnings call — did the odds go up or down?
- Up. Over the 6 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 88% on September 24, 2026 to 96% on October 5, 2026 — a change of 8 points.
- What will BlackRock, Inc. say during their next earnings call — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 6 tracked days the odds ranged between 88% and 96%. The final reading of 96% sits at the top of that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “What will BlackRock, Inc. say during their next earnings call” for 6 days, since September 23, 2026. As of October 5, 2026, Private Market leads the field at 96%. The final tracked chance for Private Market has risen from 88% to 96%, ranging between 88% and 96% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 5, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.