Final tracked odds
As of September 28, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 18%.
▲ 1 since the previous update. ▲ 1 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Colombia wage growth minus inflation above 4.00 pp in 2027?
Economy · tracked since September 16, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on September 28, 2026
18%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Sep 22 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 4.00 pp | 17% | 18% | ▲ 1 |
Full history table
| Date | Above 4.00 pp |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | 18% |
| 2026-09-22 | 17% |
| 2026-09-21 | 18% |
| 2026-09-20 | 18% |
| 2026-09-18 | 20% |
| 2026-09-17 | 20% |
| 2026-09-16 | 20% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Colombia wage growth minus inflation above 4.00 pp in 2027 — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, September 28, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 18%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Colombia wage growth minus inflation above 4.00 pp in 2027 — did the odds go up or down?
- Down. Over the 7 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 20% on September 16, 2026 to 18% on September 28, 2026 — a change of 2 points.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Colombia wage growth minus inflation above 4.00 pp in 2027” for 7 days, since September 16, 2026. As of September 28, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 18%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 20% to 18%, ranging between 17% and 20% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on September 28, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.