The Morning Line

Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?

Culture · tracked since July 12, 2026 · last updated 5:01 AM ET

1.1%

Today’s odds

As of August 6, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 1.1%.

▲ 1 since the previous update. ▲ 1 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%Jul 12Jul 21Aug 2Aug 4Aug 6Yes — Jul 12: 0.2%Yes — Jul 20: 0.3%Yes — Jul 21: 0.4%Yes — Aug 1: 0.4%Yes — Aug 2: 0.4%Yes — Aug 3: 0.2%Yes — Aug 4: 0.5%Yes — Aug 5: 0.5%Yes — Aug 6: 1.1%1.1%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeAug 5TodayMove
Yes0.5%1.1%▲ 1
Full history table
DateYes
2026-08-061.1%
2026-08-050.5%
2026-08-040.5%
2026-08-030.2%
2026-08-020.4%
2026-08-010.4%
2026-07-210.4%
2026-07-200.3%
2026-07-120.2%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition — what are the odds?
As of August 6, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 1.1%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition — how much have the odds move?
Barely. Across 9 tracked days the odds held near 0.2%, ending at 1.1% on August 6, 2026 — a question the market has not changed its mind about.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition” for 9 days, since July 12, 2026. As of August 6, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 1.1%. The chance for a yes has held near 0.2% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.

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