Final tracked odds
As of September 20, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 54%.
▲ 8 since the previous update. ▲ 8 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Everything Else · tracked since August 27, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on September 20, 2026
54%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Sep 13 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46% | 54% | ▲ 8 |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | 54% |
| 2026-09-13 | 46% |
| 2026-09-12 | 57% |
| 2026-09-11 | 57% |
| 2026-09-10 | 58% |
| 2026-09-09 | 59% |
| 2026-09-08 | 57% |
| 2026-09-07 | 57% |
| 2026-09-06 | 57% |
| 2026-09-05 | 54% |
| 2026-09-04 | 52% |
| 2026-09-03 | 59% |
| 2026-09-02 | 59% |
| 2026-09-01 | 60% |
| 2026-08-31 | 59% |
| 2026-08-30 | 60% |
| 2026-08-29 | 59% |
| 2026-08-28 | 60% |
| 2026-08-27 | 59% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026 — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, September 20, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 54%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026 — did the odds go up or down?
- Down. Over the 19 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 59% on August 27, 2026 to 54% on September 20, 2026 — a change of 5 points.
- Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026 — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 19 tracked days the odds ranged between 46% and 60%. The final reading of 54% sits inside that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026” for 19 days, since August 27, 2026. As of September 20, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 54%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 59% to 54%, ranging between 46% and 60% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on September 20, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.