Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026 — what are the odds?

As of October 12, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 54%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.

Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026 — have the odds gone up or down?

Down. Over the 8 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 58% on September 28, 2026 to 54% on October 12, 2026 — a change of 4 points.

Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026 — what are the highest and lowest odds?

Over 8 tracked days the odds ranged between 54% and 71%. The current reading of 54% sits at the bottom of that range.

Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?

Name: Daily market-consensus odds: Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Creator: The Morning Line
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Everything Else · tracked since September 28, 2026 · last updated 5:00 AM ET

54%

Today’s odds

As of October 12, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 54%.

▼ 6 since the previous update. ▼ 4 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

Every outcome we track

Outcome	Oct 11	Today	Move
Yes	60%	54%	▼ 6

Full history table

Date	Yes
2026-10-12	54%
2026-10-11	60%
2026-10-10	60%
2026-10-09	68%
2026-10-08	68%
2026-10-07	71%
2026-10-06	66%
2026-09-28	58%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026 — what are the odds?: As of October 12, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 54%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026 — have the odds gone up or down?: Down. Over the 8 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 58% on September 28, 2026 to 54% on October 12, 2026 — a change of 4 points.
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026 — what are the highest and lowest odds?: Over 8 tracked days the odds ranged between 54% and 71%. The current reading of 54% sits at the bottom of that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026” for 8 days, since September 28, 2026. As of October 12, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 54%. The chance for a yes has fallen from 58% to 54%, ranging between 54% and 71% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.