The Morning Line

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

Everything Else · tracked since August 1, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on September 30, 2026

0.1%

Final tracked odds

As of September 30, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 0.1%.

Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%Aug 1Sep 9Sep 16Sep 23Sep 30Yes — Aug 1: 6%Yes — Aug 2: 6%Yes — Aug 3: 6%Yes — Aug 4: 6%Yes — Aug 5: 6%Yes — Aug 6: 6%Yes — Sep 8: 1.0%Yes — Sep 9: 0.9%Yes — Sep 10: 0.7%Yes — Sep 11: 0.7%Yes — Sep 12: 0.7%Yes — Sep 13: 0.8%Yes — Sep 14: 0.6%Yes — Sep 15: 0.6%Yes — Sep 16: 0.4%Yes — Sep 17: 1.1%Yes — Sep 18: 0.4%Yes — Sep 19: 0.2%Yes — Sep 20: 0.1%Yes — Sep 21: 0.1%Yes — Sep 22: 0.1%Yes — Sep 23: 0.1%Yes — Sep 24: 0.1%Yes — Sep 25: 0.1%Yes — Sep 26: 0.1%Yes — Sep 27: 0.1%Yes — Sep 28: 0.1%Yes — Sep 29: 0.1%Yes — Sep 30: 0.1%0.1%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeSep 29TodayMove
Yes0.1%0.1%—
Full history table
DateYes
2026-09-300.1%
2026-09-290.1%
2026-09-280.1%
2026-09-270.1%
2026-09-260.1%
2026-09-250.1%
2026-09-240.1%
2026-09-230.1%
2026-09-220.1%
2026-09-210.1%
2026-09-200.1%
2026-09-190.2%
2026-09-180.4%
2026-09-171.1%
2026-09-160.4%
2026-09-150.6%
2026-09-140.6%
2026-09-130.8%
2026-09-120.7%
2026-09-110.7%
2026-09-100.7%
2026-09-090.9%
2026-09-081.0%
2026-08-066%
2026-08-056%
2026-08-046%
2026-08-036%
2026-08-026%
2026-08-016%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026 — what were the odds?
As of the last morning we tracked it, September 30, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 0.1%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026 — did the odds go up or down?
Down. Over the 29 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 6% on August 1, 2026 to 0.1% on September 30, 2026 — a change of 6 points.
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026 — what were the highest and lowest odds?
Over 29 tracked days the odds ranged between 0.1% and 6%. The final reading of 0.1% sits at the bottom of that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026” for 29 days, since August 1, 2026. As of September 30, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 0.1%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 6% to 0.1%, ranging between 0.1% and 6% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on September 30, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.

More questions we track

The Morning Line reports market-consensus odds — the aggregated judgment of thousands of people with real money on the line, refreshed every morning. The numbers are for news and informational purposes only and are not financial or investment advice. Probabilities move; the numbers on this page were current when the edition was published.

Every number here is free to download and reuse under CC BY 4.0 — see the open data.