Today’s odds
As of October 15, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 28%.
▼ 1 since the previous update. ▲ 9 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Everything Else · tracked since September 6, 2026 · last updated 5:01 AM ET
28%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Oct 14 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 29% | 28% | ▼ 1 |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | 28% |
| 2026-10-14 | 29% |
| 2026-10-13 | 26% |
| 2026-10-12 | 24% |
| 2026-09-30 | 20% |
| 2026-09-29 | 20% |
| 2026-09-28 | 20% |
| 2026-09-25 | 21% |
| 2026-09-07 | 26% |
| 2026-09-06 | 26% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day — what are the odds?
- As of October 15, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 28%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day — have the odds gone up or down?
- Up. Over the 10 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 26% on September 6, 2026 to 28% on October 15, 2026 — a change of 2 points.
- Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day — what are the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 10 tracked days the odds ranged between 20% and 29%. The current reading of 28% sits at the top of that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day” for 10 days, since September 6, 2026. As of October 15, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 28%. The chance for a yes has risen from 26% to 28%, ranging between 20% and 29% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.