Today’s odds
As of November 4, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 8%.
▲ 2 since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
Everything Else · tracked since July 9, 2026 · last updated 3:00 PM ET
8%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Nov 1 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 6% | 8% | ▲ 2 |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-11-04 | 8% |
| 2026-11-01 | 6% |
| 2026-10-16 | 8% |
| 2026-10-13 | 9% |
| 2026-10-12 | 9% |
| 2026-10-11 | 10% |
| 2026-10-10 | 10% |
| 2026-10-09 | 10% |
| 2026-10-08 | 10% |
| 2026-10-07 | 9% |
| 2026-10-06 | 14% |
| 2026-07-19 | 13% |
| 2026-07-18 | 12% |
| 2026-07-17 | 14% |
| 2026-07-16 | 14% |
| 2026-07-14 | 14% |
| 2026-07-11 | 14% |
| 2026-07-10 | 14% |
| 2026-07-09 | 14% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 — what are the odds?
- As of November 4, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 8%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 — have the odds gone up or down?
- Down. Over the 19 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 14% on July 9, 2026 to 8% on November 4, 2026 — a change of 6 points.
- Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 — what are the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 19 tracked days the odds ranged between 6% and 14%. The current reading of 8% sits inside that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026” for 19 days, since July 9, 2026. As of November 4, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 8%. The chance for a yes has fallen from 14% to 8%, ranging between 6% and 14% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.