The Morning Line

ATP Beijing: Novak Djokovic wins?

Tennis · tracked since October 2, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 5, 2026

26%

Final tracked odds

As of October 5, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 26%.

▼ 6 since the previous update. ▲ 18 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 26% on October 5, 2026. Novak Djokovic won.

How the odds have moved

tracking begins0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30Oct 1Oct 2Oct 4Oct 5Novak Djokovic — Sep 30: 9%Novak Djokovic — Oct 1: 16%Novak Djokovic — Oct 2: 8%Novak Djokovic — Oct 4: 32%Novak Djokovic — Oct 5: 26%26%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeOct 4TodayMove
Novak Djokovic32%26%▼ 6
Full history table
DateNovak Djokovic
2026-10-0526%
2026-10-0432%
2026-10-028%
2026-10-01 *16%
2026-09-30 *9%

* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

ATP Beijing: Novak Djokovic wins — what were the odds?
As of the last morning we tracked it, October 5, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 26%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
ATP Beijing: Novak Djokovic wins — did the odds go up or down?
Up. Over the 3 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 8% on October 2, 2026 to 26% on October 5, 2026 — a change of 18 points.
ATP Beijing: Novak Djokovic wins — what were the highest and lowest odds?
Over 3 tracked days the odds ranged between 8% and 32%. The final reading of 26% sits inside that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “ATP Beijing: Novak Djokovic wins” for 3 days, since October 2, 2026. As of October 5, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 26%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 8% to 26%, ranging between 8% and 32% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 5, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.

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