The Morning Line

Who will win the 2026 TOUR Championship?

Everything Else · tracked since July 7, 2026 · last updated 5:01 AM ET

0.4%

Today’s odds

As of July 29, 2026, this is wide open — no outcome clears 10% in market-consensus odds; Jake Knapp leads at 0.4%.

Unchanged since the previous update. ▼ 1 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

Jake KnappGary Woodland
0%25%50%75%100%Jul 7Jul 13Jul 18Jul 23Jul 29Jake Knapp — Jul 7: 3%Jake Knapp — Jul 8: 2%Jake Knapp — Jul 9: 4%Jake Knapp — Jul 10: 4%Jake Knapp — Jul 11: 4%Jake Knapp — Jul 12: 4%Jake Knapp — Jul 13: 4%Jake Knapp — Jul 14: 2%Jake Knapp — Jul 15: 1.5%Jake Knapp — Jul 16: 1.5%Jake Knapp — Jul 17: 1.4%Jake Knapp — Jul 20: 1.2%Jake Knapp — Jul 21: 1.2%Jake Knapp — Jul 22: 1.1%Jake Knapp — Jul 23: 0.7%Jake Knapp — Jul 24: 0.6%Jake Knapp — Jul 25: 0.6%Jake Knapp — Jul 26: 0.6%Jake Knapp — Jul 27: 0.5%Jake Knapp — Jul 28: 0.4%Jake Knapp — Jul 29: 0.4%0.4%Gary Woodland — Jul 9: 0.4%Gary Woodland — Jul 10: 0.4%Gary Woodland — Jul 11: 0.4%Gary Woodland — Jul 13: 0.4%Gary Woodland — Jul 14: 0.4%Gary Woodland — Jul 15: 0.4%Gary Woodland — Jul 16: 0.4%Gary Woodland — Jul 17: 0.5%Gary Woodland — Jul 18: 0.5%Gary Woodland — Jul 19: 0.4%Gary Woodland — Jul 22: 0.4%Gary Woodland — Jul 23: 0.4%Gary Woodland — Jul 24: 0.4%Gary Woodland — Jul 25: 0.3%Gary Woodland — Jul 26: 0.3%Gary Woodland — Jul 28: 0.3%Gary Woodland — Jul 29: 0.3%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeJul 28TodayMove
Jake Knapp0.4%0.4%—
Gary Woodland0.3%0.3%—
Full history table
DateJake KnappGary Woodland
2026-07-290.4%0.3%
2026-07-280.4%0.3%
2026-07-270.5%—
2026-07-260.6%0.3%
2026-07-250.6%0.3%
2026-07-240.6%0.4%
2026-07-230.7%0.4%
2026-07-221.1%0.4%
2026-07-211.2%—
2026-07-201.2%—
2026-07-19—0.4%
2026-07-18—0.5%
2026-07-171.4%0.5%
2026-07-161.5%0.4%
2026-07-151.5%0.4%
2026-07-142%0.4%
2026-07-134%0.4%
2026-07-124%—
2026-07-114%0.4%
2026-07-104%0.4%
2026-07-094%0.4%
2026-07-082%—
2026-07-073%—

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.

Common questions

Who will win the 2026 TOUR Championship — what are the odds?
As of July 29, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 0.4%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Who will win the 2026 TOUR Championship — have the odds gone up or down?
Down. Over the 21 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 3% on July 7, 2026 to 0.4% on July 29, 2026 — a change of 3 points.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Who will win the 2026 TOUR Championship” for 21 days, since July 7, 2026. As of July 29, 2026, no outcome clears 10% — Jake Knapp leads at 0.4%. The chance for the leading outcome has fallen from 3% to 0.4%, ranging between 0.4% and 4% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.

More questions we track

The Morning Line publishes probability forecasts built from market-consensus odds — the aggregated judgment of thousands of people with real money on the line, refreshed every morning. Forecasts are for news and informational purposes only and are not financial or investment advice. Probabilities move; the numbers on this page were current when the edition was published.

Every number here is free to download and reuse under CC BY 4.0 — see the open data.