The Morning Line

Will Viktor Hovland win the The Open Championship?

Golf · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on July 16, 2026

1.2%

Final tracked odds

As of July 16, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 1.2%.

▼ 2 since the previous update. ▼ 1 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 2% on July 16, 2026. It didn't happen.

How the odds have moved

tracking begins0%25%50%75%100%Jun 22Jun 28Jul 4Jul 10Jul 16Viktor Hovland — Jun 22: 3%Viktor Hovland — Jun 23: 3%Viktor Hovland — Jun 24: 2%Viktor Hovland — Jun 25: 2%Viktor Hovland — Jun 26: 2%Viktor Hovland — Jun 27: 2%Viktor Hovland — Jun 28: 4%Viktor Hovland — Jun 29: 4%Viktor Hovland — Jun 30: 5%Viktor Hovland — Jul 1: 4%Viktor Hovland — Jul 2: 4%Viktor Hovland — Jul 3: 3%Viktor Hovland — Jul 4: 3%Viktor Hovland — Jul 5: 3%Viktor Hovland — Jul 6: 2%Viktor Hovland — Jul 7: 3%Viktor Hovland — Jul 8: 3%Viktor Hovland — Jul 9: 2%Viktor Hovland — Jul 10: 2%Viktor Hovland — Jul 11: 3%Viktor Hovland — Jul 12: 3%Viktor Hovland — Jul 13: 3%Viktor Hovland — Jul 14: 3%Viktor Hovland — Jul 15: 3%Viktor Hovland — Jul 16: 1.2%1.2%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeJul 15TodayMove
Viktor Hovland3%1.2%▼ 2
Full history table
DateViktor Hovland
2026-07-161.2%
2026-07-153%
2026-07-143%
2026-07-133%
2026-07-123%
2026-07-113%
2026-07-102%
2026-07-092%
2026-07-083%
2026-07-073%
2026-07-06 *2%
2026-07-05 *3%
2026-07-04 *3%
2026-07-03 *3%
2026-07-02 *4%
2026-07-01 *4%
2026-06-30 *5%
2026-06-29 *4%
2026-06-28 *4%
2026-06-27 *2%
2026-06-26 *2%
2026-06-25 *2%
2026-06-24 *2%
2026-06-23 *3%
2026-06-22 *3%

* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Viktor Hovland win the The Open Championship — what were the odds?
As of the last morning we tracked it, July 16, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 1.2%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Viktor Hovland win the The Open Championship — did the odds go up or down?
Down. Over the 10 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 3% on July 7, 2026 to 1.2% on July 16, 2026 — a change of 2 points.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Viktor Hovland win the The Open Championship” for 10 days, since July 7, 2026. As of July 16, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 1.2%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 3% to 1.2% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on July 16, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.

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