Fear & Greed Index on Sep 11, 2026 — what were the odds?

As of the last morning we tracked it, August 24, 2026, Greed led at 34%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.

Fear & Greed Index on Sep 11, 2026 — did the odds go up or down?

Up. Over the 5 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 20% on August 18, 2026 to 34% on August 24, 2026 — a change of 14 points.

Fear & Greed Index on Sep 11, 2026 — what were the highest and lowest odds?

Over 5 tracked days the odds ranged between 20% and 34%. The final reading of 34% sits at the top of that range.

Fear & Greed Index on Sep 11, 2026?

Name: Daily market-consensus odds: Fear & Greed Index on Sep 11, 2026?
Creator: The Morning Line
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Everything Else · tracked since August 18, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on August 24, 2026

34%

Final tracked odds

As of August 24, 2026, market-consensus odds make Greed the most likely outcome at 34%.

▲ 5 since the previous update. ▲ 13 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 26% on August 24, 2026. Fear won.

How the odds have moved

GreedFearNeutralExtreme FearExtreme Greed

Every outcome we track

Outcome	Aug 21	Today	Move
Greed	28%	34%	▲ 5
Fear	24%	27%	▲ 4
Neutral	22%	22%	▼ 1
Extreme Fear	14%	12%	▼ 2
Extreme Greed	10%	10%	▲ 1

Full history table

Date	Greed	Fear	Neutral	Extreme Fear	Extreme Greed
2026-08-24	34%	27%	22%	12%	10%
2026-08-21	28%	24%	22%	14%	10%
2026-08-20	28%	24%	22%	14%	10%
2026-08-19	28%	24%	22%	14%	10%
2026-08-18	20%	22%	23%	15%	12%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Fear & Greed Index on Sep 11, 2026 — what were the odds?: As of the last morning we tracked it, August 24, 2026, Greed led at 34%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Fear & Greed Index on Sep 11, 2026 — did the odds go up or down?: Up. Over the 5 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 20% on August 18, 2026 to 34% on August 24, 2026 — a change of 14 points.
Fear & Greed Index on Sep 11, 2026 — what were the highest and lowest odds?: Over 5 tracked days the odds ranged between 20% and 34%. The final reading of 34% sits at the top of that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Fear & Greed Index on Sep 11, 2026” for 5 days, since August 18, 2026. As of August 24, 2026, Greed leads the field at 34%. The final tracked chance for Greed has risen from 20% to 34%, ranging between 20% and 34% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on August 24, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.