Final tracked odds
As of August 24, 2026, market-consensus odds make Greed the most likely outcome at 34%.
▲ 5 since the previous update. ▲ 13 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Fear & Greed Index on Sep 11, 2026?
Everything Else · tracked since August 18, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on August 24, 2026
34%
How the odds have moved
GreedFearNeutralExtreme FearExtreme Greed
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Aug 21 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Greed | 28% | 34% | ▲ 5 |
| Fear | 24% | 27% | ▲ 4 |
| Neutral | 22% | 22% | ▼ 1 |
| Extreme Fear | 14% | 12% | ▼ 2 |
| Extreme Greed | 10% | 10% | ▲ 1 |
Full history table
| Date | Greed | Fear | Neutral | Extreme Fear | Extreme Greed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | 34% | 27% | 22% | 12% | 10% |
| 2026-08-21 | 28% | 24% | 22% | 14% | 10% |
| 2026-08-20 | 28% | 24% | 22% | 14% | 10% |
| 2026-08-19 | 28% | 24% | 22% | 14% | 10% |
| 2026-08-18 | 20% | 22% | 23% | 15% | 12% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Fear & Greed Index on Sep 11, 2026 — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, August 24, 2026, Greed led at 34%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Fear & Greed Index on Sep 11, 2026 — did the odds go up or down?
- Up. Over the 5 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 20% on August 18, 2026 to 34% on August 24, 2026 — a change of 14 points.
- Fear & Greed Index on Sep 11, 2026 — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 5 tracked days the odds ranged between 20% and 34%. The final reading of 34% sits at the top of that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Fear & Greed Index on Sep 11, 2026” for 5 days, since August 18, 2026. As of August 24, 2026, Greed leads the field at 34%. The final tracked chance for Greed has risen from 20% to 34%, ranging between 20% and 34% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on August 24, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.