Today’s odds
As of August 29, 2026, market-consensus odds make Above 5.2% the most likely outcome at 64%.
▲ 1 since the previous update. ▲ 1 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Brazil unemployment rate in August 2026?
Economy · tracked since August 27, 2026 · last updated 5:01 AM ET
64%
How the odds have moved
Above 5.2%Above 5.3%Above 5.4%
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Aug 28 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 5.2% | 64% | 64% | ▲ 1 |
| Above 5.3% | 26% | 41% | ▲ 14 |
| Above 5.4% | 10% | 14% | ▲ 3 |
Full history table
| Date | Above 5.2% | Above 5.3% | Above 5.4% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | 64% | 41% | 14% |
| 2026-08-28 | 64% | 26% | 10% |
| 2026-08-27 | — | — | 22% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
Common questions
- Brazil unemployment rate in August 2026 — what are the odds?
- As of August 29, 2026, Above 5.2% leads at 64%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Brazil unemployment rate in August 2026” for 2 days, since August 27, 2026. As of August 29, 2026, Above 5.2% leads the field at 64%. The chance for Above 5.2% has held near 64% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.