The Morning Line

Brazil unemployment rate in August 2026?

Economy · tracked since August 27, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on September 6, 2026

72%

Final tracked odds

As of September 6, 2026, market-consensus odds make Above 5.2% the most likely outcome at 72%.

▲ 2 since the previous update. ▲ 5 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 72% on September 6, 2026. Above 5.2% won.

How the odds have moved

Above 5.2%Above 5.3%Above 5.4%
0%25%50%75%100%Aug 27Aug 29Aug 30Aug 31Sep 6Above 5.2% — Aug 28: 64%Above 5.2% — Aug 29: 64%Above 5.2% — Aug 30: 68%Above 5.2% — Aug 31: 68%Above 5.2% — Sep 1: 71%Above 5.2% — Sep 6: 72%72%Above 5.3% — Aug 28: 26%Above 5.3% — Aug 29: 40%Above 5.3% — Aug 30: 40%Above 5.3% — Aug 31: 40%Above 5.3% — Sep 1: 37%Above 5.3% — Sep 6: 49%Above 5.4% — Aug 27: 22%Above 5.4% — Aug 28: 10%Above 5.4% — Aug 29: 13%Above 5.4% — Aug 30: 14%Above 5.4% — Aug 31: 14%Above 5.4% — Sep 1: 16%Above 5.4% — Sep 6: 16%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeSep 1TodayMove
Above 5.2%71%72%▲ 2
Above 5.3%37%49%▲ 12
Above 5.4%16%16%▼ 1
Full history table
DateAbove 5.2%Above 5.3%Above 5.4%
2026-09-0672%49%16%
2026-09-0171%37%16%
2026-08-3168%40%14%
2026-08-3068%40%14%
2026-08-2964%40%13%
2026-08-2864%26%10%
2026-08-27——22%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Brazil unemployment rate in August 2026 — what were the odds?
As of the last morning we tracked it, September 6, 2026, Above 5.2% led at 72%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Brazil unemployment rate in August 2026 — did the odds go up or down?
Up. Over the 6 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 64% on August 28, 2026 to 72% on September 6, 2026 — a change of 8 points.
Brazil unemployment rate in August 2026 — what were the highest and lowest odds?
Over 6 tracked days the odds ranged between 64% and 72%. The final reading of 72% sits at the top of that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Brazil unemployment rate in August 2026” for 6 days, since August 27, 2026. As of September 6, 2026, Above 5.2% leads the field at 72%. The final tracked chance for Above 5.2% has risen from 64% to 72%, ranging between 64% and 72% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on September 6, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.

Related questions

The Morning Line reports market-consensus odds — the aggregated judgment of thousands of people with real money on the line, refreshed every morning. The numbers are for news and informational purposes only and are not financial or investment advice. Probabilities move; the numbers on this page were current when the edition was published.

Every number here is free to download and reuse under CC BY 4.0 — see the open data.