Final tracked odds
As of October 4, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 84%.
▼ 4 since the previous update. ▲ 3 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?
Everything Else · tracked since August 6, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 4, 2026
84%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Oct 3 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 88% | 84% | ▼ 4 |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 84% |
| 2026-10-03 | 88% |
| 2026-09-30 | 86% |
| 2026-09-29 | 78% |
| 2026-09-28 | 78% |
| 2026-09-25 | 80% |
| 2026-09-24 | 80% |
| 2026-09-23 | 83% |
| 2026-09-22 | 82% |
| 2026-09-21 | 83% |
| 2026-08-21 | 68% |
| 2026-08-20 | 68% |
| 2026-08-19 | 62% |
| 2026-08-18 | 61% |
| 2026-08-17 | 66% |
| 2026-08-06 | 57% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will STRC hit $100 by December 31 — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, October 4, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 84%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will STRC hit $100 by December 31 — did the odds go up or down?
- Up. Over the 16 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 57% on August 6, 2026 to 84% on October 4, 2026 — a change of 27 points.
- Will STRC hit $100 by December 31 — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 16 tracked days the odds ranged between 57% and 88%. The final reading of 84% sits inside that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will STRC hit $100 by December 31” for 16 days, since August 6, 2026. As of October 4, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 84%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 57% to 84%, ranging between 57% and 88% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 4, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.