Final tracked odds
As of October 5, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 2%.
Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will Sveriges Riksbank cut 1-25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?
Everything Else · tracked since September 25, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 5, 2026
2%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Sep 29 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cut 1-25bps | 2% | 2% | — |
Full history table
| Date | Cut 1-25bps |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 2% |
| 2026-09-29 | 2% |
| 2026-09-28 | 2% |
| 2026-09-27 | 2% |
| 2026-09-26 | 2% |
| 2026-09-25 | 2% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Sveriges Riksbank cut 1-25bps at the November monetary policy meeting — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, October 5, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 2%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will Sveriges Riksbank cut 1-25bps at the November monetary policy meeting — how much did the odds move?
- Barely. Across 6 tracked days the odds held near 2%, ending at 2% on October 5, 2026 — a question the market has not changed its mind about.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Sveriges Riksbank cut 1-25bps at the November monetary policy meeting” for 6 days, since September 25, 2026. As of October 5, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 2%. The final tracked chance for a yes has held near 2% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 5, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.