Today’s odds
As of August 27, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 58%.
▲ 32 since the previous update. ▲ 32 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell on Nov 16, 2026?
Everything Else · tracked since August 26, 2026 · last updated 5:00 AM ET
58%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Aug 26 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| On Nov 16, 2026 | 26% | 58% | ▲ 32 |
Full history table
| Date | On Nov 16, 2026 |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | 58% |
| 2026-08-26 | 26% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell on Nov 16, 2026 — what are the odds?
- As of August 27, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 58%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell on Nov 16, 2026 — have the odds gone up or down?
- Up. Over the 2 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 26% on August 26, 2026 to 58% on August 27, 2026 — a change of 32 points.
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell on Nov 16, 2026 — what are the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 2 tracked days the odds ranged between 26% and 58%. The current reading of 58% sits at the top of that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell on Nov 16, 2026” for 2 days, since August 26, 2026. As of August 27, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 58%. The chance for a yes has risen from 26% to 58%, ranging between 26% and 58% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.