Final tracked odds
As of August 17, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 24%.
▼ 11 since the previous update. ▼ 11 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will Chad Tracy win AL MOTY?
MLB · tracked since July 21, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on August 17, 2026
24%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Aug 10 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chad Tracy | 36% | 24% | ▼ 11 |
Full history table
| Date | Chad Tracy |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | 24% |
| 2026-08-10 | 36% |
| 2026-08-09 | 42% |
| 2026-08-08 | 48% |
| 2026-08-07 | 48% |
| 2026-08-06 | 32% |
| 2026-08-05 | 26% |
| 2026-08-04 | 20% |
| 2026-08-03 | 16% |
| 2026-08-02 | 13% |
| 2026-08-01 | 15% |
| 2026-07-31 | 14% |
| 2026-07-30 | 14% |
| 2026-07-29 | 16% |
| 2026-07-28 | 16% |
| 2026-07-27 | 16% |
| 2026-07-26 | 20% |
| 2026-07-25 | 20% |
| 2026-07-24 | 20% |
| 2026-07-23 | 20% |
| 2026-07-22 | 22% |
| 2026-07-21 | 18% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Chad Tracy win AL MOTY — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, August 17, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 24%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will Chad Tracy win AL MOTY — did the odds go up or down?
- Up. Over the 22 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 18% on July 21, 2026 to 24% on August 17, 2026 — a change of 6 points.
- Will Chad Tracy win AL MOTY — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 22 tracked days the odds ranged between 13% and 48%. The final reading of 24% sits inside that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Chad Tracy win AL MOTY” for 22 days, since July 21, 2026. As of August 17, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 24%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 18% to 24%, ranging between 13% and 48% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on August 17, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.