Today’s odds
As of October 18, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 2%.
▼ 3 since the previous update. ▼ 3 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will Karoline Leavitt be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029?
Everything Else · tracked since October 17, 2026 · last updated 5:01 AM ET
2%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Oct 17 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Karoline Leavitt | 4% | 2% | ▼ 3 |
Full history table
| Date | Karoline Leavitt |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | 2% |
| 2026-10-17 | 4% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Karoline Leavitt be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029 — what are the odds?
- As of October 18, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 2%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will Karoline Leavitt be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029 — have the odds gone up or down?
- Down. Over the 2 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 4% on October 17, 2026 to 2% on October 18, 2026 — a change of 2 points.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Karoline Leavitt be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029” for 2 days, since October 17, 2026. As of October 18, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 2%. The chance for a yes has fallen from 4% to 2%, ranging between 2% and 4% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.