Final tracked odds
As of October 5, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 4%.
▲ 1 since the previous update. ▲ 2 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will Kathy Bates be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
Everything Else · tracked since September 22, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 5, 2026
4%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Sep 29 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kathy Bates | 4% | 4% | ▲ 1 |
Full history table
| Date | Kathy Bates |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 4% |
| 2026-09-29 | 4% |
| 2026-09-28 | 3% |
| 2026-09-23 | 2% |
| 2026-09-22 | 12% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Kathy Bates be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, October 5, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 4%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will Kathy Bates be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards — did the odds go up or down?
- Down. Over the 5 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 12% on September 22, 2026 to 4% on October 5, 2026 — a change of 8 points.
- Will Kathy Bates be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 5 tracked days the odds ranged between 2% and 12%. The final reading of 4% sits inside that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Kathy Bates be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards” for 5 days, since September 22, 2026. As of October 5, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 4%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 12% to 4%, ranging between 2% and 12% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 5, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.