Today’s odds
As of October 16, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 40%.
▲ 8 since the previous update. ▲ 8 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will Katie Zacharia be out as White House Press Secretary before Dec 1, 2026?
Everything Else · tracked since October 15, 2026 · last updated 5:01 AM ET
40%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Oct 15 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 32% | 40% | ▲ 8 |
Full history table
| Date | Before Dec 1, 2026 |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | 40% |
| 2026-10-15 | 32% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Katie Zacharia be out as White House Press Secretary before Dec 1, 2026 — what are the odds?
- As of October 16, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 40%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will Katie Zacharia be out as White House Press Secretary before Dec 1, 2026 — have the odds gone up or down?
- Up. Over the 2 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 32% on October 15, 2026 to 40% on October 16, 2026 — a change of 8 points.
- Will Katie Zacharia be out as White House Press Secretary before Dec 1, 2026 — what are the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 2 tracked days the odds ranged between 32% and 40%. The current reading of 40% sits at the top of that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Katie Zacharia be out as White House Press Secretary before Dec 1, 2026” for 2 days, since October 15, 2026. As of October 16, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 40%. The chance for a yes has risen from 32% to 40%, ranging between 32% and 40% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.