Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30 — what are the odds?

As of August 27, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 8%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30 — have the odds gone up or down?

Down. Over the 12 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 20% on July 13, 2026 to 8% on August 27, 2026 — a change of 12 points.

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30 — what are the highest and lowest odds?

Over 12 tracked days the odds ranged between 6% and 20%. The current reading of 8% sits inside that range.

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?

Name: Daily market-consensus odds: Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
Creator: The Morning Line
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Everything Else · tracked since July 13, 2026 · last updated 5:00 AM ET

Today’s odds

As of August 27, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 8%.

Unchanged since the previous update. ▼ 1 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

Every outcome we track

Outcome	Aug 26	Today	Move
Yes	8%	8%	—

Full history table

Date	Yes
2026-08-27	8%
2026-08-26	8%
2026-08-25	8%
2026-08-24	6%
2026-08-22	7%
2026-08-21	8%
2026-08-20	8%
2026-08-19	6%
2026-08-18	8%
2026-08-17	10%
2026-07-15	13%
2026-07-13	20%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.

Common questions

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30 — what are the odds?: As of August 27, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 8%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30 — have the odds gone up or down?: Down. Over the 12 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 20% on July 13, 2026 to 8% on August 27, 2026 — a change of 12 points.
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30 — what are the highest and lowest odds?: Over 12 tracked days the odds ranged between 6% and 20%. The current reading of 8% sits inside that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30” for 12 days, since July 13, 2026. As of August 27, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 8%. The chance for a yes has fallen from 20% to 8%, ranging between 6% and 20% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.