Will Jannik Sinner win the Wimbledon Men's Singles — what were the odds?

As of the last morning we tracked it, July 12, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 80%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.

Will Jannik Sinner win the Wimbledon Men's Singles — did the odds go up or down?

Up. Over the 6 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 66% on July 7, 2026 to 80% on July 12, 2026 — a change of 14 points.

Will Jannik Sinner win the Wimbledon Men's Singles — what were the highest and lowest odds?

Over 6 tracked days the odds ranged between 64% and 80%. The final reading of 80% sits inside that range.

Will Jannik Sinner win the Wimbledon Men's Singles?

Name: Daily market-consensus odds: Will Jannik Sinner win the Wimbledon Men's Singles?
Creator: The Morning Line
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Tennis · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on July 12, 2026

80%

Final tracked odds

As of July 12, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 80%.

▼ 1 since the previous update. ▲ 21 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 80% on July 12, 2026. Jannik Sinner won.

How the odds have moved

Every outcome we track

Outcome	Jul 11	Today	Move
Jannik Sinner	80%	80%	▼ 1

Full history table

Date	Jannik Sinner
2026-07-12	80%
2026-07-11	80%
2026-07-10	64%
2026-07-09	64%
2026-07-08	66%
2026-07-07	66%
2026-07-06 *	63%
2026-07-05 *	59%
2026-07-04 *	60%
2026-07-03 *	55%
2026-07-02 *	59%
2026-07-01 *	59%
2026-06-30 *	59%
2026-06-29 *	61%
2026-06-28 *	60%
2026-06-27 *	60%
2026-06-26 *	60%
2026-06-25 *	60%
2026-06-24 *	61%
2026-06-23 *	61%
2026-06-22 *	60%
2026-06-21 *	60%
2026-06-20 *	60%
2026-06-19 *	61%
2026-06-18 *	61%
2026-06-17 *	61%
2026-06-16 *	61%
2026-06-15 *	61%
2026-06-14 *	60%
2026-06-13 *	60%
2026-06-12 *	61%
2026-06-11 *	62%
2026-06-10 *	63%
2026-06-09 *	72%

* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Jannik Sinner win the Wimbledon Men's Singles — what were the odds?: As of the last morning we tracked it, July 12, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 80%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Jannik Sinner win the Wimbledon Men's Singles — did the odds go up or down?: Up. Over the 6 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 66% on July 7, 2026 to 80% on July 12, 2026 — a change of 14 points.
Will Jannik Sinner win the Wimbledon Men's Singles — what were the highest and lowest odds?: Over 6 tracked days the odds ranged between 64% and 80%. The final reading of 80% sits inside that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Jannik Sinner win the Wimbledon Men's Singles” for 6 days, since July 7, 2026. As of July 12, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 80%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 66% to 80%, ranging between 64% and 80% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on July 12, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.