Final tracked odds
As of September 28, 2026, market-consensus odds make Above 45 the most likely outcome at 96%.
Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Culture · tracked since September 16, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on September 28, 2026
Final tracked odds
Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
| Outcome | Sep 22 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 45 | 96% | 96% | — |
| Above 50 | 94% | 94% | — |
| Above 55 | — | 90% | — |
| Above 70 | 60% | 60% | — |
| Above 75 | 44% | 44% | — |
| Above 80 | 34% | 32% | ▼ 2 |
| Above 85 | 16% | 16% | ▼ 1 |
| Above 90 | 8% | 8% | ▼ 1 |
| Date | Above 45 | Above 50 | Above 55 | Above 70 | Above 75 | Above 80 | Above 85 | Above 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | 96% | 94% | 90% | 60% | 44% | 32% | 16% | 8% |
| 2026-09-22 | 96% | 94% | — | 60% | 44% | 34% | 16% | 8% |
| 2026-09-21 | 96% | 94% | — | 58% | 47% | 34% | 14% | 8% |
| 2026-09-20 | 96% | — | — | 68% | 52% | 36% | 22% | 14% |
| 2026-09-18 | 96% | — | — | 60% | 44% | 31% | 24% | 14% |
| 2026-09-17 | 96% | — | — | 57% | — | 28% | 17% | 8% |
| 2026-09-16 | 94% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping Rotten Tomatoes score” for 7 days, since September 16, 2026. As of September 28, 2026, Above 45 leads the field at 96%. The final tracked chance for Above 45 has risen from 94% to 96%, ranging between 94% and 96% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on September 28, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.