The Social Reckoning Rotten Tomatoes score — what were the odds?

As of the last morning we tracked it, October 11, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 98%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.

The Social Reckoning Rotten Tomatoes score — did the odds go up or down?

Up. Over the 4 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 96% on October 8, 2026 to 98% on October 11, 2026 — a change of 2 points.

The Social Reckoning Rotten Tomatoes score — what were the highest and lowest odds?

Over 4 tracked days the odds ranged between 92% and 98%. The final reading of 98% sits at the top of that range.

The Social Reckoning Rotten Tomatoes score?

Name: Daily market-consensus odds: The Social Reckoning Rotten Tomatoes score?
Creator: The Morning Line
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Culture · tracked since September 11, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 11, 2026

98%

Final tracked odds

As of October 11, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 98%.

▲ 6 since the previous update. ▲ 2 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

Every outcome we track

Outcome	Oct 10	Today	Move
Above 52	92%	98%	▲ 6

Full history table

Date	Above 52
2026-10-11	98%
2026-10-10	92%
2026-10-09	98%
2026-10-08	96%
2026-09-14	—
2026-09-13	—
2026-09-12	—
2026-09-11	—

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

The Social Reckoning Rotten Tomatoes score — what were the odds?: As of the last morning we tracked it, October 11, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 98%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
The Social Reckoning Rotten Tomatoes score — did the odds go up or down?: Up. Over the 4 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 96% on October 8, 2026 to 98% on October 11, 2026 — a change of 2 points.
The Social Reckoning Rotten Tomatoes score — what were the highest and lowest odds?: Over 4 tracked days the odds ranged between 92% and 98%. The final reading of 98% sits at the top of that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “The Social Reckoning Rotten Tomatoes score” for 4 days, since September 11, 2026. As of October 11, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 98%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 96% to 98%, ranging between 92% and 98% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 11, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.