The Morning Line

Will Big Sky open before Dec 13, 2026?

Everything Else · tracked since September 24, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 5, 2026

94%

Final tracked odds

As of October 5, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 94%.

▲ 41 since the previous update. ▲ 45 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

tracking begins0%25%50%75%100%Sep 23Sep 24Sep 28Sep 29Oct 5Before Dec 13, 2026 — Sep 23: 11%Before Dec 13, 2026 — Sep 24: 52%Before Dec 13, 2026 — Sep 28: 49%Before Dec 13, 2026 — Sep 29: 54%Before Dec 13, 2026 — Oct 5: 94%94%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeSep 29TodayMove
Before Dec 13, 202654%94%▲ 41
Full history table
DateBefore Dec 13, 2026
2026-10-0594%
2026-09-2954%
2026-09-2849%
2026-09-2452%
2026-09-23 *11%

* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Big Sky open before Dec 13, 2026 — what were the odds?
As of the last morning we tracked it, October 5, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 94%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Big Sky open before Dec 13, 2026 — did the odds go up or down?
Up. Over the 4 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 52% on September 24, 2026 to 94% on October 5, 2026 — a change of 42 points.
Will Big Sky open before Dec 13, 2026 — what were the highest and lowest odds?
Over 4 tracked days the odds ranged between 49% and 94%. The final reading of 94% sits at the top of that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Big Sky open before Dec 13, 2026” for 4 days, since September 24, 2026. As of October 5, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 94%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 52% to 94%, ranging between 49% and 94% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 5, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.

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