Final tracked odds
As of October 5, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 94%.
▲ 41 since the previous update. ▲ 45 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Everything Else · tracked since September 24, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 5, 2026
Final tracked odds
▲ 41 since the previous update. ▲ 45 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
| Outcome | Sep 29 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Dec 13, 2026 | 54% | 94% | ▲ 41 |
| Date | Before Dec 13, 2026 |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 94% |
| 2026-09-29 | 54% |
| 2026-09-28 | 49% |
| 2026-09-24 | 52% |
| 2026-09-23 * | 11% |
* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Big Sky open before Dec 13, 2026” for 4 days, since September 24, 2026. As of October 5, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 94%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 52% to 94%, ranging between 49% and 94% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 5, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.