The Morning Line

Will Big Sky open before Nov 29, 2026?

Everything Else · tracked since September 24, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 5, 2026

84%

Final tracked odds

As of October 5, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 84%.

▲ 39 since the previous update. ▲ 32 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

tracking begins0%25%50%75%100%Sep 23Sep 24Sep 28Sep 29Oct 5Before Nov 29, 2026 — Sep 23: 13%Before Nov 29, 2026 — Sep 24: 47%Before Nov 29, 2026 — Sep 28: 52%Before Nov 29, 2026 — Sep 29: 44%Before Nov 29, 2026 — Oct 5: 84%84%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeSep 29TodayMove
Before Nov 29, 202644%84%▲ 39
Full history table
DateBefore Nov 29, 2026
2026-10-0584%
2026-09-2944%
2026-09-2852%
2026-09-2447%
2026-09-23 *13%

* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Big Sky open before Nov 29, 2026 — what were the odds?
As of the last morning we tracked it, October 5, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 84%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Big Sky open before Nov 29, 2026 — did the odds go up or down?
Up. Over the 4 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 47% on September 24, 2026 to 84% on October 5, 2026 — a change of 37 points.
Will Big Sky open before Nov 29, 2026 — what were the highest and lowest odds?
Over 4 tracked days the odds ranged between 44% and 84%. The final reading of 84% sits at the top of that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Big Sky open before Nov 29, 2026” for 4 days, since September 24, 2026. As of October 5, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 84%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 47% to 84%, ranging between 44% and 84% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 5, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.

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