Final tracked odds
As of October 5, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 84%.
▲ 39 since the previous update. ▲ 32 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Everything Else · tracked since September 24, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 5, 2026
Final tracked odds
▲ 39 since the previous update. ▲ 32 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
| Outcome | Sep 29 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Nov 29, 2026 | 44% | 84% | ▲ 39 |
| Date | Before Nov 29, 2026 |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 84% |
| 2026-09-29 | 44% |
| 2026-09-28 | 52% |
| 2026-09-24 | 47% |
| 2026-09-23 * | 13% |
* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Big Sky open before Nov 29, 2026” for 4 days, since September 24, 2026. As of October 5, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 84%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 47% to 84%, ranging between 44% and 84% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 5, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.