Today’s odds
As of October 12, 2026, market-consensus odds make Above 20 the most likely outcome at 94%.
Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Culture · tracked since October 2, 2026 · last updated 5:00 AM ET
Today’s odds
Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
| Outcome | Oct 11 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 20 | 94% | 94% | — |
| Above 30 | 84% | 84% | — |
| Above 40 | — | 70% | — |
| Above 45 | — | 62% | — |
| Above 50 | — | 55% | — |
| Above 55 | — | 46% | — |
| Above 60 | — | 40% | — |
| Above 65 | — | 22% | — |
| Date | Above 20 | Above 30 | Above 40 | Above 45 | Above 50 | Above 55 | Above 60 | Above 65 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | 94% | 84% | 70% | 62% | 55% | 46% | 40% | 22% |
| 2026-10-11 | 94% | 84% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-10-09 | 94% | 84% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-10-08 | 94% | 84% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-10-06 | — | — | — | 62% | 56% | 46% | 39% | 22% |
| 2026-10-05 | — | — | — | 69% | 65% | 57% | 48% | 34% |
| 2026-10-04 | — | — | — | 76% | 68% | 58% | — | 36% |
| 2026-10-03 | — | — | — | 68% | 66% | 62% | — | — |
| 2026-10-02 | — | — | — | 74% | 54% | 39% | — | — |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Ebenezer Rotten Tomatoes score” for 4 days, since October 2, 2026. As of October 12, 2026, Above 20 leads the field at 94%. The chance for Above 20 has held near 94% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.