Today’s odds
As of August 4, 2026, market-consensus odds make Real Madrid the most likely outcome at 68%.
▲ 3 since the previous update. ▼ 9 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Where will Vinicius Junior go next?
Everything Else · tracked since July 26, 2026 · last updated 5:01 AM ET
68%
How the odds have moved
Real MadridArsenalManchester United
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Aug 3 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 66% | 68% | ▲ 3 |
| Arsenal | 32% | 30% | ▼ 3 |
| Manchester United | 2% | 2% | — |
Full history table
| Date | Real Madrid | Arsenal | Manchester United |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | 68% | 30% | 2% |
| 2026-08-03 | 66% | 32% | 2% |
| 2026-08-02 | 53% | 48% | 2% |
| 2026-08-01 | 57% | 38% | 2% |
| 2026-07-31 | 54% | 44% | 2% |
| 2026-07-30 | 60% | 32% | 2% |
| 2026-07-29 | 76% | 22% | 2% |
| 2026-07-28 | 78% | 22% | — |
| 2026-07-27 | 76% | 24% | — |
| 2026-07-26 | 64% | 46% | 2% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
Common questions
- Where will Vinicius Junior go next — what are the odds?
- As of August 4, 2026, Real Madrid leads at 68%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Where will Vinicius Junior go next — have the odds gone up or down?
- Up. Over the 10 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 64% on July 26, 2026 to 68% on August 4, 2026 — a change of 4 points.
- Where will Vinicius Junior go next — what are the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 10 tracked days the odds ranged between 53% and 78%. The current reading of 68% sits inside that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Where will Vinicius Junior go next” for 10 days, since July 26, 2026. As of August 4, 2026, Real Madrid leads the field at 68%. The chance for Real Madrid has risen from 64% to 68%, ranging between 53% and 78% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.