Today’s odds
As of August 1, 2026, this is wide open — no outcome clears 10% in market-consensus odds; Alphabet leads at 9%.
Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Who will be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
Everything Else · tracked since July 28, 2026 · last updated 5:01 AM ET
9%
How the odds have moved
AlphabetTeslaAmazonSaudi Aramco
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Jul 31 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alphabet | — | 9% | — |
| Tesla | — | 0.1% | — |
| Amazon | — | 0.1% | — |
| Saudi Aramco | — | 0.1% | — |
Full history table
| Date | Alphabet | Tesla | Amazon | Saudi Aramco |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | 9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 2026-07-31 | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-28 | — | — | — | — |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Who will be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31” for 1 day, since July 28, 2026. As of August 1, 2026, no outcome clears 10% — Alphabet leads at 9%. The chance for the leading outcome has held near 9% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.