The Morning Line

Who will be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Everything Else · tracked since July 7, 2026 · last updated 5:01 AM ET

0.1%

Today’s odds

As of July 29, 2026, this is wide open — no outcome clears 10% in market-consensus odds; Frank Donovan leads at 0.1%.

Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

Frank DonovanDonald TrumpRichard Grenell
0%25%50%75%100%Jul 7Jul 13Jul 18Jul 23Jul 29Frank Donovan — Jul 7: 0.1%Frank Donovan — Jul 8: 0.1%Frank Donovan — Jul 9: 0.1%Frank Donovan — Jul 10: 0.1%Frank Donovan — Jul 11: 0.1%Frank Donovan — Jul 12: 0.1%Frank Donovan — Jul 13: 0.1%Frank Donovan — Jul 14: 0.1%Frank Donovan — Jul 15: 0.1%Frank Donovan — Jul 16: 0.1%Frank Donovan — Jul 17: 0.1%Frank Donovan — Jul 18: 0.1%Frank Donovan — Jul 19: 0.1%Frank Donovan — Jul 20: 0.1%Frank Donovan — Jul 21: 0.1%Frank Donovan — Jul 22: 0.1%Frank Donovan — Jul 23: 0.1%Frank Donovan — Jul 24: 0.1%Frank Donovan — Jul 25: 0.1%Frank Donovan — Jul 26: 0.1%Frank Donovan — Jul 27: 0.1%Frank Donovan — Jul 28: 0.1%Frank Donovan — Jul 29: 0.1%0.1%Donald Trump — Jul 7: 0.1%Donald Trump — Jul 8: 0.1%Donald Trump — Jul 9: 0.1%Donald Trump — Jul 10: 0.1%Donald Trump — Jul 11: 0.1%Donald Trump — Jul 12: 0.1%Donald Trump — Jul 13: 0.1%Donald Trump — Jul 14: 0.1%Donald Trump — Jul 15: 0.1%Donald Trump — Jul 16: 0.1%Donald Trump — Jul 17: 0.1%Donald Trump — Jul 18: 0.1%Donald Trump — Jul 19: 0.1%Donald Trump — Jul 20: 0.1%Donald Trump — Jul 21: 0.1%Donald Trump — Jul 22: 0.1%Donald Trump — Jul 23: 0.1%Donald Trump — Jul 24: 0.1%Donald Trump — Jul 25: 0.1%Donald Trump — Jul 26: 0.1%Donald Trump — Jul 27: 0.1%Donald Trump — Jul 28: 0.1%Donald Trump — Jul 29: 0.1%Richard Grenell — Jul 7: 0.1%Richard Grenell — Jul 8: 0.1%Richard Grenell — Jul 9: 0.1%Richard Grenell — Jul 10: 0.1%Richard Grenell — Jul 11: 0.1%Richard Grenell — Jul 12: 0.1%Richard Grenell — Jul 13: 0.1%Richard Grenell — Jul 14: 0.1%Richard Grenell — Jul 15: 0.1%Richard Grenell — Jul 16: 0.1%Richard Grenell — Jul 17: 0.1%Richard Grenell — Jul 18: 0.1%Richard Grenell — Jul 19: 0.1%Richard Grenell — Jul 20: 0.1%Richard Grenell — Jul 21: 0.1%Richard Grenell — Jul 22: 0.1%Richard Grenell — Jul 23: 0.1%Richard Grenell — Jul 24: 0.1%Richard Grenell — Jul 25: 0.1%Richard Grenell — Jul 26: 0.1%Richard Grenell — Jul 27: 0.1%Richard Grenell — Jul 28: 0.1%Richard Grenell — Jul 29: 0.1%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeJul 28TodayMove
Frank Donovan0.1%0.1%—
Donald Trump0.1%0.1%—
Richard Grenell0.1%0.1%—
Full history table
DateFrank DonovanDonald TrumpRichard Grenell
2026-07-290.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-07-280.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-07-270.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-07-260.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-07-250.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-07-240.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-07-230.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-07-220.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-07-210.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-07-200.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-07-190.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-07-180.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-07-170.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-07-160.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-07-150.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-07-140.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-07-130.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-07-120.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-07-110.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-07-100.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-07-090.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-07-080.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-07-070.1%0.1%0.1%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.

Common questions

Who will be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026 — what are the odds?
As of July 29, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 0.1%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Who will be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026 — how much have the odds move?
Barely. Across 23 tracked days the odds held near 0.1%, ending at 0.1% on July 29, 2026 — a question the market has not changed its mind about.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Who will be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026” for 23 days, since July 7, 2026. As of July 29, 2026, no outcome clears 10% — Frank Donovan leads at 0.1%. The chance for the leading outcome has held near 0.1% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.

More questions we track

The Morning Line publishes probability forecasts built from market-consensus odds — the aggregated judgment of thousands of people with real money on the line, refreshed every morning. Forecasts are for news and informational purposes only and are not financial or investment advice. Probabilities move; the numbers on this page were current when the edition was published.

Every number here is free to download and reuse under CC BY 4.0 — see the open data.