Will Rory McIlroy win the Genesis Scottish Open — what were the odds?

As of the last morning we tracked it, July 12, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 2%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.

Will Rory McIlroy win the Genesis Scottish Open — did the odds go up or down?

Down. Over the 6 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 9% on July 7, 2026 to 2% on July 12, 2026 — a change of 7 points.

Will Rory McIlroy win the Genesis Scottish Open — what were the highest and lowest odds?

Over 6 tracked days the odds ranged between 2% and 32%. The final reading of 2% sits at the bottom of that range.

Will Rory McIlroy win the Genesis Scottish Open?

Name: Daily market-consensus odds: Will Rory McIlroy win the Genesis Scottish Open?
Creator: The Morning Line
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Golf · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on July 12, 2026

Final tracked odds

As of July 12, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 2%.

▼ 30 since the previous update. ▼ 9 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 2% on July 12, 2026. It didn't happen.

How the odds have moved

Every outcome we track

Outcome	Jul 11	Today	Move
Rory McIlroy	32%	2%	▼ 30

Full history table

Date	Rory McIlroy
2026-07-12	2%
2026-07-11	32%
2026-07-10	20%
2026-07-09	18%
2026-07-08	9%
2026-07-07	9%
2026-07-06 *	11%

* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Rory McIlroy win the Genesis Scottish Open — what were the odds?: As of the last morning we tracked it, July 12, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 2%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Rory McIlroy win the Genesis Scottish Open — did the odds go up or down?: Down. Over the 6 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 9% on July 7, 2026 to 2% on July 12, 2026 — a change of 7 points.
Will Rory McIlroy win the Genesis Scottish Open — what were the highest and lowest odds?: Over 6 tracked days the odds ranged between 2% and 32%. The final reading of 2% sits at the bottom of that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Rory McIlroy win the Genesis Scottish Open” for 6 days, since July 7, 2026. As of July 12, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 2%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 9% to 2%, ranging between 2% and 32% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on July 12, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.