Today’s odds
As of October 17, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 78%.
▼ 1 since the previous update. ▼ 1 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will the CIF Rotterdam 88.5% APT price (SMM-WU-APT-003) be above $2,250/MTU on Dec 17, 2026?
Everything Else · tracked since October 16, 2026 · last updated 11:54 AM ET
78%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Oct 16 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above $2,250/MTU | 78% | 78% | ▼ 1 |
Full history table
| Date | Above $2,250/MTU |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | 78% |
| 2026-10-16 | 78% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will the CIF Rotterdam 88.5% APT price (SMM-WU-APT-003) be above $2,250/MTU on Dec 17, 2026 — what are the odds?
- As of October 17, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 78%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will the CIF Rotterdam 88.5% APT price (SMM-WU-APT-003) be above $2,250/MTU on Dec 17, 2026” for 2 days, since October 16, 2026. As of October 17, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 78%. The chance for a yes has held near 78% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.