The Morning Line

Will Xander Schauffele win the The Open Championship?

Golf · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on July 18, 2026

0.9%

Final tracked odds

As of July 18, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 0.9%.

▲ 1 since the previous update. ▼ 2 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 0.4% on July 18, 2026. It didn't happen.

How the odds have moved

tracking begins0%25%50%75%100%Jun 22Jun 28Jul 5Jul 12Jul 18Xander Schauffele — Jun 22: 6%Xander Schauffele — Jun 23: 5%Xander Schauffele — Jun 24: 5%Xander Schauffele — Jun 25: 4%Xander Schauffele — Jun 26: 5%Xander Schauffele — Jun 27: 4%Xander Schauffele — Jun 28: 5%Xander Schauffele — Jun 29: 4%Xander Schauffele — Jun 30: 4%Xander Schauffele — Jul 1: 4%Xander Schauffele — Jul 2: 5%Xander Schauffele — Jul 3: 5%Xander Schauffele — Jul 4: 5%Xander Schauffele — Jul 5: 5%Xander Schauffele — Jul 6: 4%Xander Schauffele — Jul 7: 4%Xander Schauffele — Jul 8: 4%Xander Schauffele — Jul 9: 3%Xander Schauffele — Jul 10: 3%Xander Schauffele — Jul 11: 3%Xander Schauffele — Jul 12: 3%Xander Schauffele — Jul 13: 3%Xander Schauffele — Jul 14: 3%Xander Schauffele — Jul 15: 3%Xander Schauffele — Jul 16: 4%Xander Schauffele — Jul 17: 0.3%Xander Schauffele — Jul 18: 0.9%0.9%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeJul 17TodayMove
Xander Schauffele0.3%0.9%▲ 1
Full history table
DateXander Schauffele
2026-07-180.9%
2026-07-170.3%
2026-07-164%
2026-07-153%
2026-07-143%
2026-07-133%
2026-07-123%
2026-07-113%
2026-07-103%
2026-07-093%
2026-07-084%
2026-07-074%
2026-07-06 *4%
2026-07-05 *5%
2026-07-04 *5%
2026-07-03 *5%
2026-07-02 *5%
2026-07-01 *4%
2026-06-30 *4%
2026-06-29 *4%
2026-06-28 *5%
2026-06-27 *4%
2026-06-26 *5%
2026-06-25 *4%
2026-06-24 *5%
2026-06-23 *5%
2026-06-22 *6%

* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Xander Schauffele win the The Open Championship — what were the odds?
As of the last morning we tracked it, July 18, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 0.9%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Xander Schauffele win the The Open Championship — did the odds go up or down?
Down. Over the 12 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 4% on July 7, 2026 to 0.9% on July 18, 2026 — a change of 3 points.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Xander Schauffele win the The Open Championship” for 12 days, since July 7, 2026. As of July 18, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 0.9%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 4% to 0.9%, ranging between 0.3% and 4% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on July 18, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.

Related questions

The Morning Line publishes probability forecasts built from market-consensus odds — the aggregated judgment of thousands of people with real money on the line, refreshed every morning. Forecasts are for news and informational purposes only and are not financial or investment advice. Probabilities move; the numbers on this page were current when the edition was published.

Every number here is free to download and reuse under CC BY 4.0 — see the open data.