Will Alex Fitzpatrick win the The Open Championship — what were the odds?

As of the last morning we tracked it, July 18, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 0.1%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.

Will Alex Fitzpatrick win the The Open Championship — how much did the odds move?

Barely. Across 12 tracked days the odds held near 1.2%, ending at 0.1% on July 18, 2026 — a question the market has not changed its mind about.

Will Alex Fitzpatrick win the The Open Championship?

Name: Daily market-consensus odds: Will Alex Fitzpatrick win the The Open Championship?
Creator: The Morning Line
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Golf · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on July 18, 2026

0.1%

Final tracked odds

As of July 18, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 0.1%.

▼ 2 since the previous update. ▼ 1 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 3% on July 18, 2026. It didn't happen.

How the odds have moved

Every outcome we track

Outcome	Jul 17	Today	Move
Alex Fitzpatrick	3%	0.1%	▼ 2

Full history table

Date	Alex Fitzpatrick
2026-07-18	0.1%
2026-07-17	3%
2026-07-16	0.9%
2026-07-15	1.5%
2026-07-14	1.2%
2026-07-13	1.2%
2026-07-12	1.1%
2026-07-11	1.1%
2026-07-10	1.1%
2026-07-09	1.2%
2026-07-08	1.2%
2026-07-07	1.2%
2026-07-06 *	2%
2026-07-05 *	0.6%
2026-07-04 *	2%
2026-07-03 *	2%
2026-07-02 *	2%
2026-07-01 *	2%
2026-06-30 *	2%

* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Alex Fitzpatrick win the The Open Championship — what were the odds?: As of the last morning we tracked it, July 18, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 0.1%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Alex Fitzpatrick win the The Open Championship — how much did the odds move?: Barely. Across 12 tracked days the odds held near 1.2%, ending at 0.1% on July 18, 2026 — a question the market has not changed its mind about.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Alex Fitzpatrick win the The Open Championship” for 12 days, since July 7, 2026. As of July 18, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 0.1%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 1.2% to 0.1%, ranging between 0.1% and 3% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on July 18, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.