The Morning Line

Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the Genesis Scottish Open?

Golf · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on July 12, 2026

26%

Final tracked odds

As of July 12, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 26%.

▲ 12 since the previous update. ▲ 20 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 26% on July 12, 2026. It didn't happen.

How the odds have moved

tracking begins0%25%50%75%100%Jul 6Jul 8Jul 9Jul 10Jul 12Matt Fitzpatrick — Jul 6: 5%Matt Fitzpatrick — Jul 7: 4%Matt Fitzpatrick — Jul 8: 4%Matt Fitzpatrick — Jul 9: 4%Matt Fitzpatrick — Jul 10: 14%Matt Fitzpatrick — Jul 11: 14%Matt Fitzpatrick — Jul 12: 26%26%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeJul 11TodayMove
Matt Fitzpatrick14%26%▲ 12
Full history table
DateMatt Fitzpatrick
2026-07-1226%
2026-07-1114%
2026-07-1014%
2026-07-094%
2026-07-084%
2026-07-074%
2026-07-06 *5%

* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the Genesis Scottish Open — what were the odds?
As of the last morning we tracked it, July 12, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 26%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the Genesis Scottish Open — did the odds go up or down?
Up. Over the 6 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 4% on July 7, 2026 to 26% on July 12, 2026 — a change of 22 points.
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the Genesis Scottish Open — what were the highest and lowest odds?
Over 6 tracked days the odds ranged between 4% and 26%. The final reading of 26% sits at the top of that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the Genesis Scottish Open” for 6 days, since July 7, 2026. As of July 12, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 26%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 4% to 26%, ranging between 4% and 26% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on July 12, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.

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