Will Rafael Jodar win set 1 in the Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils match — did the odds go up or down?

Up. Over the 2 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 54% on August 10, 2026 to 56% on August 11, 2026 — a change of 2 points.

Will Rafael Jodar win set 1 in the Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils match?

Name: Daily market-consensus odds: Will Rafael Jodar win set 1 in the Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils match?
Creator: The Morning Line
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Tennis · tracked since August 10, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on August 11, 2026

56%

Final tracked odds

As of August 11, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 56%.

▲ 3 since the previous update. ▲ 3 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 55% on August 11, 2026. Rafael Jodar won.

How the odds have moved

Every outcome we track

Outcome	Aug 10	Today	Move
Rafael Jodar	54%	56%	▲ 3

Full history table

Date	Rafael Jodar
2026-08-11	56%
2026-08-10	54%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Rafael Jodar win set 1 in the Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils match — what were the odds?: As of the last morning we tracked it, August 11, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 56%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Rafael Jodar win set 1 in the Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils match — did the odds go up or down?: Up. Over the 2 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 54% on August 10, 2026 to 56% on August 11, 2026 — a change of 2 points.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Rafael Jodar win set 1 in the Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils match” for 2 days, since August 10, 2026. As of August 11, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 56%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 54% to 56%, ranging between 54% and 56% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on August 11, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.