Today’s odds
As of November 5, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 3%.
▼ 1 since the previous update. ▼ 1 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will Joe Kent be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?
Politics · tracked since November 4, 2026 · last updated 3:14 PM ET
3%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Nov 4 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Kent | 3% | 3% | ▼ 1 |
Full history table
| Date | Joe Kent |
|---|---|
| 2026-11-05 | 3% |
| 2026-11-04 | 3% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Joe Kent be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party — what are the odds?
- As of November 5, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 3%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Joe Kent be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party” for 2 days, since November 4, 2026. As of November 5, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 3%. The chance for a yes has held near 3% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.