Final tracked odds
As of October 22, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 92%.
▲ 4 since the previous update. ▲ 4 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will GTA 6 be released by Nov 19, 2026?
Culture · tracked since October 21, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 22, 2026
92%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Oct 21 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| By Nov 19, 2026 | 88% | 92% | ▲ 4 |
Full history table
| Date | By Nov 19, 2026 |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | 92% |
| 2026-10-21 | 88% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will GTA 6 be released by Nov 19, 2026 — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, October 22, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 92%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will GTA 6 be released by Nov 19, 2026 — did the odds go up or down?
- Up. Over the 2 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 88% on October 21, 2026 to 92% on October 22, 2026 — a change of 4 points.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will GTA 6 be released by Nov 19, 2026” for 2 days, since October 21, 2026. As of October 22, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 92%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 88% to 92%, ranging between 88% and 92% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 22, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.