Will Karolina Muchova win the Wimbledon Women's Singles — what were the odds?

As of the last morning we tracked it, July 11, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 28%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.

Will Karolina Muchova win the Wimbledon Women's Singles — did the odds go up or down?

Down. Over the 5 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 34% on July 7, 2026 to 28% on July 11, 2026 — a change of 6 points.

Will Karolina Muchova win the Wimbledon Women's Singles — what were the highest and lowest odds?

Over 5 tracked days the odds ranged between 28% and 52%. The final reading of 28% sits at the bottom of that range.

Will Karolina Muchova win the Wimbledon Women's Singles?

Name: Daily market-consensus odds: Will Karolina Muchova win the Wimbledon Women's Singles?
Creator: The Morning Line
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Tennis · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on July 11, 2026

28%

Final tracked odds

As of July 11, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 28%.

▼ 24 since the previous update. ▲ 24 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 28% on July 11, 2026. It didn't happen.

How the odds have moved

Every outcome we track

Outcome	Jul 10	Today	Move
Karolina Muchova	52%	28%	▼ 24

Full history table

Date	Karolina Muchova
2026-07-11	28%
2026-07-10	52%
2026-07-09	36%
2026-07-08	32%
2026-07-07	34%
2026-07-06 *	12%
2026-07-05 *	6%
2026-07-04 *	5%
2026-07-03 *	5%
2026-07-02 *	6%
2026-07-01 *	3%
2026-06-30 *	4%
2026-06-29 *	5%
2026-06-28 *	4%
2026-06-27 *	3%
2026-06-26 *	2%
2026-06-25 *	1.0%
2026-06-24 *	1.0%
2026-06-23 *	5%
2026-06-22 *	1.0%
2026-06-20 *	1.0%
2026-06-19 *	2%
2026-06-18 *	2%
2026-06-17 *	1.0%
2026-06-16 *	1.0%
2026-06-15 *	0%
2026-06-14 *	0%
2026-06-13 *	0%
2026-06-10 *	0%
2026-06-09 *	0%

* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Karolina Muchova win the Wimbledon Women's Singles — what were the odds?: As of the last morning we tracked it, July 11, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 28%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Karolina Muchova win the Wimbledon Women's Singles — did the odds go up or down?: Down. Over the 5 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 34% on July 7, 2026 to 28% on July 11, 2026 — a change of 6 points.
Will Karolina Muchova win the Wimbledon Women's Singles — what were the highest and lowest odds?: Over 5 tracked days the odds ranged between 28% and 52%. The final reading of 28% sits at the bottom of that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Karolina Muchova win the Wimbledon Women's Singles” for 5 days, since July 7, 2026. As of July 11, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 28%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 34% to 28%, ranging between 28% and 52% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on July 11, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.