Final tracked odds
As of August 9, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 2%.
Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Everything Else · tracked since August 1, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on August 9, 2026
Final tracked odds
Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
| Outcome | Aug 8 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2% | 2% | — |
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | 2% |
| 2026-08-08 | 2% |
| 2026-08-07 | 2% |
| 2026-08-06 | 1.5% |
| 2026-08-05 | 2% |
| 2026-08-04 | 1.1% |
| 2026-08-03 | 1.4% |
| 2026-08-02 | 1.5% |
| 2026-08-01 | 1.4% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026” for 9 days, since August 1, 2026. As of August 9, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 2%. The final tracked chance for a yes has held near 1.4% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on August 9, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.