Today’s odds
As of July 31, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 19%.
▲ 1 since the previous update. ▲ 2 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Everything Else · tracked since July 20, 2026 · last updated 5:01 AM ET
19%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Jul 30 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 18% | 19% | ▲ 1 |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | 19% |
| 2026-07-30 | 18% |
| 2026-07-28 | 18% |
| 2026-07-27 | 18% |
| 2026-07-25 | 18% |
| 2026-07-24 | 18% |
| 2026-07-23 | 18% |
| 2026-07-22 | 18% |
| 2026-07-21 | 18% |
| 2026-07-20 | 18% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026 — what are the odds?
- As of July 31, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 19%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026 — how much have the odds move?
- Barely. Across 10 tracked days the odds held near 18%, ending at 19% on July 31, 2026 — a question the market has not changed its mind about.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026” for 10 days, since July 20, 2026. As of July 31, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 19%. The chance for a yes has held near 18% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.