Anduril IPO before 2027 — what were the odds?

As of the last morning we tracked it, September 20, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 4%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.

Anduril IPO before 2027 — did the odds go up or down?

Down. Over the 11 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 8% on July 19, 2026 to 4% on September 20, 2026 — a change of 4 points.

Anduril IPO before 2027 — what were the highest and lowest odds?

Over 11 tracked days the odds ranged between 4% and 9%. The final reading of 4% sits at the bottom of that range.

Anduril IPO before 2027?

Name: Daily market-consensus odds: Anduril IPO before 2027?
Creator: The Morning Line
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Everything Else · tracked since July 19, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on September 20, 2026

Final tracked odds

As of September 20, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 4%.

▼ 4 since the previous update. ▼ 4 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

Every outcome we track

Outcome	Aug 31	Today	Move
Yes	8%	4%	▼ 4

Full history table

Date	Yes
2026-09-20	4%
2026-08-31	8%
2026-08-30	8%
2026-08-29	9%
2026-08-28	9%
2026-08-27	8%
2026-08-26	9%
2026-08-25	8%
2026-08-24	7%
2026-08-23	7%
2026-07-19	8%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Anduril IPO before 2027 — what were the odds?: As of the last morning we tracked it, September 20, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 4%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Anduril IPO before 2027 — did the odds go up or down?: Down. Over the 11 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 8% on July 19, 2026 to 4% on September 20, 2026 — a change of 4 points.
Anduril IPO before 2027 — what were the highest and lowest odds?: Over 11 tracked days the odds ranged between 4% and 9%. The final reading of 4% sits at the bottom of that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Anduril IPO before 2027” for 11 days, since July 19, 2026. As of September 20, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 4%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 8% to 4%, ranging between 4% and 9% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on September 20, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.