Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the Genesis Scottish Open — what were the odds?

As of the last morning we tracked it, July 12, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 0.7%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.

Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the Genesis Scottish Open — how much did the odds move?

Barely. Across 6 tracked days the odds held near 0.5%, ending at 0.7% on July 12, 2026 — a question the market has not changed its mind about.

Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the Genesis Scottish Open?

Name: Daily market-consensus odds: Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the Genesis Scottish Open?
Creator: The Morning Line
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Golf · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on July 12, 2026

0.7%

Final tracked odds

As of July 12, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 0.7%.

▼ 1 since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 0.7% on July 12, 2026. It didn't happen.

How the odds have moved

Every outcome we track

Outcome	Jul 11	Today	Move
Michael Thorbjornsen	1.2%	0.7%	▼ 1

Full history table

Date	Michael Thorbjornsen
2026-07-12	0.7%
2026-07-11	1.2%
2026-07-10	4%
2026-07-09	1.4%
2026-07-08	0.4%
2026-07-07	0.5%
2026-07-06 *	0.7%

* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the Genesis Scottish Open — what were the odds?: As of the last morning we tracked it, July 12, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 0.7%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the Genesis Scottish Open — how much did the odds move?: Barely. Across 6 tracked days the odds held near 0.5%, ending at 0.7% on July 12, 2026 — a question the market has not changed its mind about.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the Genesis Scottish Open” for 6 days, since July 7, 2026. As of July 12, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 0.7%. The final tracked chance for a yes has held near 0.5%, ranging between 0.4% and 4% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on July 12, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.