Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary be above 1700000?

Name: Daily market-consensus odds: Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary be above 1700000?
Creator: The Morning Line
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Politics · tracked since August 19, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on August 24, 2026

Final tracked odds

As of August 24, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 2%.

Unchanged since the previous update. ▼ 4 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 2% on August 24, 2026. It didn't happen.

How the odds have moved

Every outcome we track

Outcome	Aug 23	Today	Move
Above 1.7M	2%	2%	—

Full history table

Date	Above 1.7M
2026-08-24	2%
2026-08-23	2%
2026-08-22	2%
2026-08-21	2%
2026-08-20	9%
2026-08-19	6%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary be above 1700000 — what were the odds?: As of the last morning we tracked it, August 24, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 2%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary be above 1700000 — did the odds go up or down?: Down. Over the 6 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 6% on August 19, 2026 to 2% on August 24, 2026 — a change of 4 points.
Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary be above 1700000 — what were the highest and lowest odds?: Over 6 tracked days the odds ranged between 2% and 9%. The final reading of 2% sits at the bottom of that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary be above 1700000” for 6 days, since August 19, 2026. As of August 24, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 2%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 6% to 2%, ranging between 2% and 9% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on August 24, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.