Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 NH-01 Democratic primary be at least 80000?

Name: Daily market-consensus odds: Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 NH-01 Democratic primary be at least 80000?
Creator: The Morning Line
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Politics · tracked since September 9, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on September 10, 2026

96%

Final tracked odds

As of September 10, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 96%.

▲ 52 since the previous update. ▲ 96 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 76% on September 10, 2026. ≥80,000 won.

How the odds have moved

Every outcome we track

Outcome	Sep 9	Today	Move
≥80,000	44%	96%	▲ 52

Full history table

Date	≥80,000
2026-09-10	96%
2026-09-09	44%
2026-09-08 *	1.0%

* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 NH-01 Democratic primary be at least 80000 — what were the odds?: As of the last morning we tracked it, September 10, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 96%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 NH-01 Democratic primary be at least 80000 — did the odds go up or down?: Up. Over the 2 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 44% on September 9, 2026 to 96% on September 10, 2026 — a change of 52 points.
Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 NH-01 Democratic primary be at least 80000 — what were the highest and lowest odds?: Over 2 tracked days the odds ranged between 44% and 96%. The final reading of 96% sits at the top of that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 NH-01 Democratic primary be at least 80000” for 2 days, since September 9, 2026. As of September 10, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 96%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 44% to 96%, ranging between 44% and 96% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on September 10, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.