Today’s odds
As of August 27, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 20%.
Unchanged since the previous update. ▼ 4 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Everything Else · tracked since July 18, 2026 · last updated 5:00 AM ET
20%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Aug 26 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 20% | 20% | — |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | 20% |
| 2026-08-26 | 20% |
| 2026-08-25 | 20% |
| 2026-08-24 | 22% |
| 2026-08-23 | 22% |
| 2026-08-22 | 22% |
| 2026-07-19 | 24% |
| 2026-07-18 | 24% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026 — what are the odds?
- As of August 27, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 20%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026 — have the odds gone up or down?
- Down. Over the 8 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 24% on July 18, 2026 to 20% on August 27, 2026 — a change of 4 points.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026” for 8 days, since July 18, 2026. As of August 27, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 20%. The chance for a yes has fallen from 24% to 20%, ranging between 20% and 24% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.