Final tracked odds
As of September 8, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 18%.
▼ 6 since the previous update. ▼ 4 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Everything Else · tracked since September 1, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on September 8, 2026
Final tracked odds
▼ 6 since the previous update. ▼ 4 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
| Outcome | Sep 7 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 23% | 18% | ▼ 6 |
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | 18% |
| 2026-09-07 | 23% |
| 2026-09-06 | 24% |
| 2026-09-05 | 26% |
| 2026-09-04 | 28% |
| 2026-09-03 | 28% |
| 2026-09-02 | 21% |
| 2026-09-01 | 21% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “No one announced as next James Bond” for 8 days, since September 1, 2026. As of September 8, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 18%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 21% to 18%, ranging between 18% and 28% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on September 8, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.