The Morning Line

No one announced as next James Bond?

Everything Else · tracked since September 1, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on September 8, 2026

18%

Final tracked odds

As of September 8, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 18%.

▼ 6 since the previous update. ▼ 4 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 1Sep 3Sep 5Sep 6Sep 8Yes — Sep 1: 21%Yes — Sep 2: 21%Yes — Sep 3: 28%Yes — Sep 4: 28%Yes — Sep 5: 26%Yes — Sep 6: 24%Yes — Sep 7: 23%Yes — Sep 8: 18%18%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeSep 7TodayMove
Yes23%18%▼ 6
Full history table
DateYes
2026-09-0818%
2026-09-0723%
2026-09-0624%
2026-09-0526%
2026-09-0428%
2026-09-0328%
2026-09-0221%
2026-09-0121%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

No one announced as next James Bond — what were the odds?
As of the last morning we tracked it, September 8, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 18%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
No one announced as next James Bond — did the odds go up or down?
Down. Over the 8 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 21% on September 1, 2026 to 18% on September 8, 2026 — a change of 3 points.
No one announced as next James Bond — what were the highest and lowest odds?
Over 8 tracked days the odds ranged between 18% and 28%. The final reading of 18% sits at the bottom of that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “No one announced as next James Bond” for 8 days, since September 1, 2026. As of September 8, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 18%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 21% to 18%, ranging between 18% and 28% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on September 8, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.

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