The Morning Line

Will Scottie Scheffler win the The Open Championship?

Golf · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on July 18, 2026

14%

Final tracked odds

As of July 18, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 14%.

▼ 2 since the previous update. ▲ 2 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 14% on July 18, 2026. It didn't happen.

How the odds have moved

tracking begins0%25%50%75%100%Jun 22Jun 28Jul 5Jul 12Jul 18Scottie Scheffler — Jun 22: 16%Scottie Scheffler — Jun 23: 16%Scottie Scheffler — Jun 24: 14%Scottie Scheffler — Jun 25: 16%Scottie Scheffler — Jun 26: 15%Scottie Scheffler — Jun 27: 16%Scottie Scheffler — Jun 28: 16%Scottie Scheffler — Jun 29: 15%Scottie Scheffler — Jun 30: 15%Scottie Scheffler — Jul 1: 15%Scottie Scheffler — Jul 2: 15%Scottie Scheffler — Jul 3: 13%Scottie Scheffler — Jul 4: 14%Scottie Scheffler — Jul 5: 16%Scottie Scheffler — Jul 6: 16%Scottie Scheffler — Jul 7: 16%Scottie Scheffler — Jul 8: 14%Scottie Scheffler — Jul 9: 14%Scottie Scheffler — Jul 10: 12%Scottie Scheffler — Jul 11: 12%Scottie Scheffler — Jul 12: 12%Scottie Scheffler — Jul 13: 12%Scottie Scheffler — Jul 14: 12%Scottie Scheffler — Jul 15: 12%Scottie Scheffler — Jul 16: 14%Scottie Scheffler — Jul 17: 16%Scottie Scheffler — Jul 18: 14%14%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeJul 17TodayMove
Scottie Scheffler16%14%▼ 2
Full history table
DateScottie Scheffler
2026-07-1814%
2026-07-1716%
2026-07-1614%
2026-07-1512%
2026-07-1412%
2026-07-1312%
2026-07-1212%
2026-07-1112%
2026-07-1012%
2026-07-0914%
2026-07-0814%
2026-07-0716%
2026-07-06 *16%
2026-07-05 *16%
2026-07-04 *14%
2026-07-03 *13%
2026-07-02 *15%
2026-07-01 *15%
2026-06-30 *15%
2026-06-29 *15%
2026-06-28 *16%
2026-06-27 *16%
2026-06-26 *15%
2026-06-25 *16%
2026-06-24 *14%
2026-06-23 *16%
2026-06-22 *16%

* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Scottie Scheffler win the The Open Championship — what were the odds?
As of the last morning we tracked it, July 18, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 14%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Scottie Scheffler win the The Open Championship — did the odds go up or down?
Down. Over the 12 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 16% on July 7, 2026 to 14% on July 18, 2026 — a change of 2 points.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Scottie Scheffler win the The Open Championship” for 12 days, since July 7, 2026. As of July 18, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 14%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 16% to 14%, ranging between 12% and 16% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on July 18, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.

Related questions

The Morning Line publishes probability forecasts built from market-consensus odds — the aggregated judgment of thousands of people with real money on the line, refreshed every morning. Forecasts are for news and informational purposes only and are not financial or investment advice. Probabilities move; the numbers on this page were current when the edition was published.

Every number here is free to download and reuse under CC BY 4.0 — see the open data.