The Morning Line

Will Shane Lowry win the The Open Championship?

Golf · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on July 18, 2026

0.6%

Final tracked odds

As of July 18, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 0.6%.

▼ 1 since the previous update. ▼ 1 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 2% on July 18, 2026. It didn't happen.

How the odds have moved

tracking begins0%25%50%75%100%Jun 22Jun 28Jul 5Jul 12Jul 18Shane Lowry — Jun 22: 4%Shane Lowry — Jun 23: 3%Shane Lowry — Jun 24: 2%Shane Lowry — Jun 25: 2%Shane Lowry — Jun 26: 2%Shane Lowry — Jun 27: 2%Shane Lowry — Jun 28: 2%Shane Lowry — Jun 29: 2%Shane Lowry — Jun 30: 2%Shane Lowry — Jul 1: 2%Shane Lowry — Jul 2: 2%Shane Lowry — Jul 3: 2%Shane Lowry — Jul 4: 2%Shane Lowry — Jul 5: 2%Shane Lowry — Jul 6: 2%Shane Lowry — Jul 7: 2%Shane Lowry — Jul 8: 2%Shane Lowry — Jul 9: 1.5%Shane Lowry — Jul 10: 1.4%Shane Lowry — Jul 11: 1.4%Shane Lowry — Jul 12: 2%Shane Lowry — Jul 13: 1.3%Shane Lowry — Jul 14: 1.5%Shane Lowry — Jul 15: 1.5%Shane Lowry — Jul 16: 2%Shane Lowry — Jul 17: 1.5%Shane Lowry — Jul 18: 0.6%0.6%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeJul 17TodayMove
Shane Lowry1.5%0.6%▼ 1
Full history table
DateShane Lowry
2026-07-180.6%
2026-07-171.5%
2026-07-162%
2026-07-151.5%
2026-07-141.5%
2026-07-131.3%
2026-07-122%
2026-07-111.4%
2026-07-101.4%
2026-07-091.5%
2026-07-082%
2026-07-072%
2026-07-06 *2%
2026-07-05 *2%
2026-07-04 *2%
2026-07-03 *2%
2026-07-02 *2%
2026-07-01 *2%
2026-06-30 *2%
2026-06-29 *2%
2026-06-28 *2%
2026-06-27 *2%
2026-06-26 *2%
2026-06-25 *2%
2026-06-24 *2%
2026-06-23 *3%
2026-06-22 *4%

* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Shane Lowry win the The Open Championship — what were the odds?
As of the last morning we tracked it, July 18, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 0.6%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Shane Lowry win the The Open Championship — how much did the odds move?
Barely. Across 12 tracked days the odds held near 2%, ending at 0.6% on July 18, 2026 — a question the market has not changed its mind about.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Shane Lowry win the The Open Championship” for 12 days, since July 7, 2026. As of July 18, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 0.6%. The final tracked chance for a yes has held near 2% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on July 18, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.

Related questions

The Morning Line publishes probability forecasts built from market-consensus odds — the aggregated judgment of thousands of people with real money on the line, refreshed every morning. Forecasts are for news and informational purposes only and are not financial or investment advice. Probabilities move; the numbers on this page were current when the edition was published.

Every number here is free to download and reuse under CC BY 4.0 — see the open data.